July 16, 2025Calculating...

Connecting data centres in Ontario: key considerations and challenges

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This piece was first published by Energy Regulation Quarterly. View the original publication: Connecting data centres in Ontario: Key considerations and challenges, July 2025 – Volume 13, Issue 2, 2025.
 

Data centres are the backbone of modern technology infrastructure and digital security. Their development is crucial for protecting national interests, increasing productivity and providing Canada a competitive edge in key industries such as health care and manufacturing1. Despite offering many potential benefits, data centres also present significant challenges for the energy sector as meeting their power demands and reliability requirements may involve significant investment in grid expansion and reinforcement.

In Canada, Ontario leads the data centre market with over 80 facilities already built. The province is anticipating and planning for increased data centre demand. In the most recent 2025 outlook by the Independent Electricity System Operator (IESO), data centres were one of the top new drivers for electricity demand in the province2. In the next 10 years, Ontario expects 16 more data centres to connect to its grid, representing 13% of new electricity demand and 4% of total anticipated demand3. While the IESO states this is “an uncertain area of electricity demand growth”, the IESO is projecting an increase in 13 TWh in net annual energy demand between 2016 to 2050 for new data centre load connect to its grid. This represents more than a five-fold increase between 2016 and 2050, with a compound annual growth rate of 7.1%4.

This article explores the various regulatory requirements and considerations for developing and connecting data centres in Ontario. Section one outlines the regulatory approvals and processes that data centre proponents need to navigate to connect their facilities to Ontario’s grid. Section two discusses public interest and ratepayer risk protection considerations related to data centre-driven grid expansions. Section three considers the regulatory requirement for generating electricity for direct supply. Section four identifies ongoing energy policy and regulatory changes that may affect data centre development projects in Ontario. Section five examines the implication of the IESO’s recent Market Renewal Program.

Section one: connecting a data centre to the grid

In Ontario, the electricity markets are administered by the IESO and electricity grid connection requirements are set out in Transmission System and Distribution System Codes (TSC and DSC, respectively)5, which are overseen by the Ontario Energy Board (OEB). Across these two regimes, regulatory approvals related to data centre connections generally fall into four categories:

  • A data centre proponent will need to register as a market participant and be authorized by the IESO to participate in the electricity market or program offered as part of that market. This process takes about three weeks, but it may require other regulatory approvals, such obtaining an OEB license to operate in the province. Proponents should also know about the applicable changes under the IESO’s Market Renewal Program (MRP) (discussed further in Section five).
  • The IESO conducts a System Impact Assessment (SIA) for projects greater than 10MW to evaluate the effect of the connection on system reliability6. The IESO also oversees regional planning processes, which consider how to address system requirements in a cost-effective way. Data centre proponents are encouraged to monitor and participate in regional planning consultations that may impact their projects.
  • Leave to construct approval may be required from the OEB to build or reinforce transmission facilities to enable the connection7. This process has many requirements, and may be subject to a public hearing, which can take anywhere from six to more than 12 months to complete.
  • Rate approvals from the OEB may be required for the utility facilitating the connection to secure the funding necessary to construct a grid expansion. This could be a standalone application for the project or could be done as part of a rate application filed in the normal course (every four to five years) to get rates approved by the OEB.
Grid interconnection requirements

Connection rules are complex and circumstance-specific, and connection cost responsibility requirements are evolving (this is discussed more in Section four). Data centre proponents need to undertake thorough due diligence to understand the regulatory landscape and connection cost responsibility requirements for their projects.

Broadly, there are two types of infrastructure that a data centre will have to pay for to connect to the grid in Ontario:

  1. Connection assets are dedicated to serving a particular customer. At the distribution level, these assets are paid by the customer upfront and in full, if the cost goes beyond a basic connection allowance that the utility may already be approved to recover through rates. At the transmission level, these assets are paid for through connection rates, and an economic evaluation is done to determine whether the cost will be fully funded through rates, or if some shortfall needs to be paid upfront by the customer through a capital contribution.
  2. Upstream grid assets that serve multiple customers may also need to be expanded or reinforced to facilitate the connection. At the distribution level, these investments are paid for through rates, and an economic evaluation is performed at the outset of the connection process to determine whether the cost will be fully funded through rates, or whether there is a shortfall that needs to be paid upfront by the customer through a capital contribution. At the transmission level, the costs of upstream network investments are socialized among all ratepayers in the province through the uniform transmission rate. In exceptional circumstances, a portion of these costs may be attributed to the connecting customer in which case a capital contribution would be required.
Non-Wires Solutions (NWS)

NWSs are alternative non-capital investments, such as procuring demand response or flexible capacity, intended to defer or replace the need for constructing new or modified physical grid infrastructure like poles and wires8. The OEB’s Non-Wires Solutions Guidelines encourage distributors to consider NWSs as an alternative to grid expansion when connecting customers9. Although NWSs are unlikely to eliminate the need for grid upgrades, these alternatives may assist in facilitating a faster connection or reducing the upfront cost burden for the connecting customer. Data centre proponents with behind-the-meter generation or energy storage resources, or demand flexibility may be able to leverage the NWS Guidelines to manage their projects’ connection costs or expedite the timelines.

Section two: public interest and ratepayer risk protections

Attracting data centre investment is becoming an increasingly important objective for the federal and provincial governments10. In developing these policies, it is important for the government to consider the potential ratepayer implications of accommodating increased data centre demand on the grid. These risks arise from the possibility that data centre load might decrease over time due to improved energy efficiency or changes in business conditions that may cause data centre demand to drop or relocate to other jurisdictions. If this happens before the connection costs have been fully recovered, ratepayers may be on the hook for the costs associated with expanding the grid to facilitate the connection11.

Ontario’s TSC protects ratepayers by categorizing connections into high-risk, medium-high risk, medium-low risk, and low-risk, which dictates the economic evaluation period. High-risk connections undergo a five-year evaluation, while low-risk connections have a 25-year period. Shorter evaluations yield smaller revenue streams, necessitating higher upfront capital contributions to cover the expansion costs. Obtaining a larger upfront contribution for high-risk connections protects ratepayers from potentially having to bear the costs of the expansion if the expected load does not materialize or decreases beyond the five-year revenue window12,13. Data centre proponents should review the transmitter’s risk classification policies and assess the connection cost implications for their projects.

In the DSC, the risk is addressed through expansion deposit requirements14. In the context of a system expansion, the customer must provide the distributor an expansion deposit that covers both the forecast risk (i.e., risk that project revenue will materialize as forecast) as well as the asset risk (i.e., risk that expansion is constructed, completed to specifications and operates when energized). Once the facilities are energized, the customer receives an annual refund of the expansion deposit in proportion to the actual demand that has materialized in that year. However, if at the end of the connection horizon (typically five years but could be longer) the forecasted demand has not materialized, the distributor retains the remaining portion of the expansion deposit15.

Data centre proponents should consider the different ways in which revenue risk is addressed in the DSC and TSC, and the cost implications of connecting their project to the distribution versus the transmission grid.

Section three: generating electricity for direct power supply

Data centres can also opt for direct or self-supplied power. Microsoft selected this option in 2024, signing a 20-year power purchase agreement to restart the Three Mile Island Unit 1 nuclear facility to power its data centres16.

There are several regulatory requirements that must be met to secure direct power supply in a compliant manner. Property ownership must be considered given that the generation facility and the wires delivering the power to the load facility typically need to be located on the same or contiguous parcels of land. Generation facilities may need a license to operate and to sell electricity to specific consumers. These licenses come with a host of conditions and compliance requirements that must be maintained. Common license conditions include restricting the licensee from acquiring an interest in a transmission or distribution system in Ontario, and notifying the OEB within 20 days of any material change that has had (or is likely to have) an adverse effect on the licensee’s business, operations or assets17.

A data centre contemplating on-site generation should consider the type of electricity that will be generated to power the facility. With gas generation, the proponent may want to consider carbon capture or renewable energy credits to meet climate targets, and the infrastructure needed to get a reliable supply of gas. For other forms of generation, like wind and solar, the proponent will have to consider reliability requirements. This will likely entail remaining connected to the grid in some way unless the renewable generation facility is paired with an energy storage system to manage intermittency.

If the data centre intends to connect a generation facility to a constrained part of the grid, “flexible hosting” can also be considered. The DSC was recently amended to allow distributors to offer a flexible hosting arrangement “that will require the output or operation of the proposed embedded generation facility to be varied”18. The UK has been offering such flexibility for years allowing customers to connect more expediently and cost-effectively in constrained areas19. For instance, Electricity North West, a UK distribution network operator, offers “Curtailed Connection Offers”20. When connection reinforcement is necessary, the Offers help curtail connection import/exports to manage constraints until the reinforcement is finished21.

Further, the UK’s National Grid Electricity Distribution provides a variety of flexible connection options22. Examples include:

  • timed connections: curtailing based on the time of day, day or week or season;
  • export limitation schemes: measuring power at the exit point of installation and using that information to restrict the generation out or balance customer demand to prevent capacity from being exceeded; or
  • load managed connection: using real time data monitoring to determine the network’s ability to accommodate a customer’s load. If the full load cannot be accommodated a constraint signal is sent out.

Flexible load or generation connections for data centres may involve reliability trade-offs, if flexibility is achieved by curtailing the data centre’s supply of consistent energy. These innovative solutions are particularly suitable for data centres with variable load profiles, behind-the-meter generation or storage assets, or excess capacity that can be utilized for flexibility until full load requirements are met. When considering these arrangements, project proponents should also assess the trade-offs related to participation in other market programs, such as the Industrial Conservation Initiative (ICI), which allow customers to shift electricity consumption from peak hours—when demand is highest—to off-peak hours to manage their cost of power23.

Section four: energy policy and regulatory changes affecting data centre developments

Data centre proponents should monitor ongoing regulatory changes that may impact project development and grid connection requirements in Ontario. Specifically, the Affordable Energy Act, 2024 (the Act) introduced through Bill 214 in October of 2024 sets the groundwork for substantive changes to Ontario’s electricity sector to implement the government’s Energy Vision for the province24.

The Act grants the Minister of Energy and Electrification regulation-making authority to amend the cost allocation and cost recovery rules in the DSC and TSC25. The Minister has already announced plans to enact a regulation that aims to reduce the cost and financial burden on first-mover connection customers26 as well as enhance grid readiness at strategically significant locations where future load is highly likely to materialize27.

The Act also articulates the government’s process and responsibility for developing an Integrated Resource Plan (IRP)28. Following a consultation process that was initiated in December 2024, the IRP is expected to be released in the spring of 2025 and may contain policy guidance and directives that are impactful to large loads such as data centers.

Proponents should remain vigilant to future energy policy and regulatory changes which could affect the economics and timelines of connecting date center projects to Ontario’s grid.

Section five: IESO Market Renewal Program (MRP)

The MRP, which is in effect as of May 2025, was initiated in 2016 to modernize Ontario’s electricity markets and implement fundamental design changes to the IESO-administered markets29. While Ontario has had a wholesale electricity market since 2002, the design has remained largely unchanged since its conception, which has resulted in market inefficiencies, including the uneconomic dispatch of resources30. The MRP aims to provide new mechanisms to address these deficiencies. The core changes include:

  1. Replacing Ontario’s two-schedule market with a single schedule market (SSM) to help align market prices and system dispatch. The SSM will introduce local marginal pricing (LMP) to account for transmission congestion and losses, with the pricing varying by location to reflect electricity production cost at the given time and place31. This will replace the Hourly Ontario Zonal Price (HOEP), which will no longer be published by the IESO.
  2. Establishing a day ahead market (DAM) to “provide financially binding schedules for participating resources a day ahead of operation”32.
  3. Introducing the Enhanced Real-Time Unit Commitment Process (ERUC) initiative designed to reduce scheduling costs and resource dispatch inefficiencies when changes in system needs arise in the pre-dispatch time frame33.

While it is outside the scope of this article to explain the full extent of changes to the IESO-administered market introduced of the MRP, we consider three ways in which the IESO’s MRP might affect data centres.

First, if a data centre is connecting on the transmission side, it typically would be registered as a “non-dispatchable load” (NDL) in the market34. An NDL does not respond to market prices and draws power for their operations regardless of price or system conditions35. A material change applicable to NDLs resulting from MRP is that they will now pay for energy based on the sum of the DAM Ontario Zonal Price (OZP) plus a load forecast deviation adjustment calculated by the IESO. The OZP is calculated as a weighted average of the DAM LMPs adjusted to reflect differences between day ahead demand forecast and actual demand in real time36. This calculation replaces the previous market’s Hourly Ontario Energy Price (HOEP). Compared to the LMP, the HOEP did not vary based on location or reflect actual cost of electricity at a given time and place. The IESO has noted that it expects the load forecast deviation adjustment to be a small component of the price paid for NDLs, and that the DAM OZP will be a good predictor of the final price37.

Second, for data centres connecting on the distribution side, the MRP affects the financial price of energy paid by these customers. The OEB’s Standard Supply Service Code and Retail Settlement Code provide the settlement of distributed connected load customers38. Calculating settlement costs were previously based on the HOEP. To achieve alignment with the MRP, the OEB amended the Retail Settlement Code and the definition of “Spot Market Price” in the Standard Supply Service Code, replacing references to the HOEP with the new DAM OZP and the load forecast deviation adjustment39. As non-regulated price plan customers, connecting data centres will pay for power through this new pricing approach.

Finally, if the data centre is connecting to the transmission grid as a wholesale consumer, the facility will have the new opportunity to participate as a Price Responsive Load, a new resource type which participates in the market by receiving an hourly LMP and day-ahead schedule to manage in the DAM40. The Price Responsive Load resource-type, which can be understood as a combination of a dispatchable load and NDL, could provide a data centre greater operationality and financial certainty than participating in IESO-administered markets as an NDL41.

The MRP changes how data centres are charged for the cost of power and provides new opportunities for data centre customers to participate in the IESO-administered markets.

Section six: conclusion

Data centres are essential to Canada’s digital infrastructure. Yet to realize their full potential, data centre proponents, governments and other interested stakeholders must consider both the challenges and opportunities in connecting these mega-loads to the electricity grid. Proponents must recognize the variety of regulatory processes and approvals required to connect, as well as system expansion costs that a data centre will have to pay to connect to the grid. This includes considering demand flexibility as an alternative to building traditional grid infrastructure. Additionally, interested parties must understand the impacts of accommodating data centre demand on the grid, and how risk is factored into the DSC and TSC. A proponent should also consider whether to bring their own power to their site and the implications that this route brings.

Lastly, interested parties should stay vigilant to regulatory and legislative changes impacting connection processes and cost responsibility, and understanding the role of data centres as market participants under the IESO’s MRP. Ontario’s regulatory regime is complex and evolving with wide-ranging rules and policies affecting how the grid functions. Connecting data centres will require higher level of due diligence to navigate the complexity and support prudent decision-making.


  1. Shaz Merwat. (December 4, 2024). “Power Struggle: How AI is challenging Canada’s electricity grid.” RBC Climate Action Institute [RBC Climate Action Institute].
  2. Independent Electricity System Operator. (2025). “Annual Planning Outlook: Ontario’s electricity system needs: 2026-2050.Independent Electricity System Operator, at pp. 13-14, 15  [IESO 2025 APO Forecast].
  3. Independent Electricity System Operator. (2024). “Electricity Demand in Ontario to Grow by 75 per cent by 2050.” Independent Electricity System Operator [IESO 2024 Forecast]; Steve Russell, “Ford government wants to boost electricity expansion to meet surging demand.” (October 16, 2024). The Toronto Star.
  4. IESO 2025 APO Forecast, p. 22.
  5. Ontario Energy Board. Distribution System Code. Last revised on December 23, 2024 (originally issued on July 14, 2000). [DSC]; Ontario Energy Board. Transmission System Code. Last revised on March 31, 2025 (originally issued on July 14, 2000). [TSC].
  6. Independent Electricity System Operator. (2025). “Overview of the Connection Process.” Independent Electricity System Operator.
  7. Ontario Energy Board. (2023). “Filing Requirements for Electricity Transmission Applications.” Ontario Energy Board.
  8. Examples of NWS for addressing system needs include energy efficiency programs, demand response programs, energy storage (in front or behind the meter), generation (in front or behind the meter) managed charging of electric vehicle (source: Ontario Energy Board. (2024). “Non-Wires Solutions Guidelines for Electricity Distributors.” EB-2024-0118. Ontario Energy Board, at p. 6. [NWS Guidelines].
  9. NWS Guidelines, pp. 8-10. Distributors are required to document their consideration of NWSs when making an investment on system needs when there is an expected capital cost of $2M or more (excluding general plant investments).  Distributors are also encouraged to consider NWSs for system needs that “are driven by specific customers and funded by customer capital contributions, where there is a reasonable expectation that an NWS may reduce the total cost and required customer capital contribution.”
  10. For example, see Innovation, Science and Economic Development Canada. (2025). “Canadian Sovereign AI Compute Strategy.” Government of Canada.
  11. Margarita Patria, Chris Nagle and Oliver Stover. (November 28, 2024). “How do we power AI?Data Centre Review.
  12. PHB Hagler Bailly. (2000). “Risk Assessment Methodology Options.” Ontario Energy Board. [Risk Assessment Methodology Options].
  13. DSC, sections 3.2.30 and 3.2.21.
  14. DSC, section 3.2.23.
  15. DSC, section 6.2.4.1.A.; Ontario Energy Board. (March 27, 2024). “Notice of Amendments to the Distribution System Code: Amendments to Enable Flexible Hosting Capacity Arrangements.Ontario Energy Board.  Board File No.: EB-2019-0207.
  16. In 2022, OFGEM reviewed the rules surrounding flexible connections, given criticism that the previous rules were “poorly-defined” and provided  “no commonly defined limit on the extent to which their network access can be curtailed”. 2022 reforms outlined explicit curtailment limits, and end dates for the connection to not be curtailed, among other changes. Source: OFGEM. (May 3, 2022). “Access and Forward-Looking Charges Significant Code Review: Final Decision.OFGEM.
  17. Electricity North West. (n.d.). “Curtailed Connected Offers.” [Electricity North West].
  18. Small customer is defined as “either a domestic or non-domestic customer who are whole current metered (i.e., up to 20kVA for 1ph and 60kVA for 3ph). A “small customer” generally excludes those who do not have a current transformer (“CT”) meter.” See Electricity North West.
  19. Nation Grid Electricity Distribution. (n.d.). “Flexible Connection Options.”
  20. Independent Electricity System Operator. (2025). “Global Adjustment Class A Eligibility.”
  21. Affordable Energy Act, 2024, S.O. 2024, c. 26 – Bill 214.  [Affordable Energy Act].
  22. Affordable Energy Act, Schedule 2, section 70.4(1).
  23. I.E., the first customers that want to connect in an area where energy infrastructure is not sufficient to meet the new demand. Source: Environmental Registry of Ontario, (October 23, 2024). “Proposal to create a regulation under the Ontario Energy Board Act, 1998 to change cost responsibility rules for certain electricity system connection infrastructure for high-growth areas where load growth materializing in the future is very likely”. ERO number: 019-9300. Ontario. [Cost Responsibility ERO Regulation Proposal].
  24. Cost Responsibility ERO Regulation Proposal.
  25. Affordable Energy Act, Schedule 1.
  26. EB-2024-0331, “IESO Market Rule Description Evidence in Response to Procedural Order No. 2.” Ontario Energy Board, at p. 2 of 27. [EB-2024-0331].
  27. EB-2024-0331 at p. 2 of 27.
  28. EB-2024-0331 at p. 4 of 27.
  29. Independent Electricity System Operator. (October 22, 2019). “Market Renewable Program: Energy Stream Business Case.” Document ID Number: BC-165. Independent Electricity System Operator, at para 25. [IESO MRP Business Case].
  30. IESO MRP Business Case at p. 25.
  31. Independent Electricity System Operator. (2023). “Market Renewal Program: Day-In-The-Life for Non-Dispatchable Loads”, at p. 5. [MRP Day-In-The-Life].
  32. Energy Education. (n.d.) “Non-dispatchable source of electricity.” University of Calgary.
  33. Independent Electricity System Operator. (April, 2025). “Guide to the Renewed Market for Local Distribution Companies (LDCs).” Independent Electricity System Operator, at p. 7.; EB-2024-0331 at p. 10 of 27.
  34. Independent Electricity System Operator (April 16, 2025). “Overview of the Transition to the Renewed Market.” Independent Electricity System Operator, at p. 16.
  35. Ontario Energy Board. Retail Settlement Code (revised on March 27, 2025). Ontario Energy Board, at Appendix A, and sections 3.3.1(a) and 3.3.2(a).
  36. MRP Day-In-The-Life at p. 5.
  37. MRP Day-In-The-Life at p. 5.

 To discuss these issues, please contact the author(s).

This publication is a general discussion of certain legal and related developments and should not be relied upon as legal advice. If you require legal advice, we would be pleased to discuss the issues in this publication with you, in the context of your particular circumstances.

For permission to republish this or any other publication, contact Janelle Weed.

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